RTC: Ending Bus Bunching
Quebec City's transit agency tested thirty fixes in simulation to find the strategy that keeps buses evenly spaced.
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Case study · Maritime · Workforce dispatch
Client's brief · reconstructed excerpt · values held in confidence
(withheld) dispatches the workforce for port work in (withheld). Every job is assigned under strict rules, and each assignment changes who is left for the next one. For years that work has run by hand, on a physical board. Then the pandemic pushed demand two ways at once, more container traffic and far fewer cruise ships, while staffing ran short. The organization needs to see a year ahead: what shifts in worker availability and in demand will do to the jobs it can fill.
Bars cover values SimWell holds and is not releasing. The released figures stand as printed.
§ 1
Dispatch has a cascade effect. A worker sent to one job is not there for the next, and the rules decide who is next in line, so every assignment reshapes the ones after it. Across a full workforce and a year of ship calls, nobody can see those interactions on a board.
The client wanted to test changes in worker availability and in demand over a full year, and see the effect on service and cost.
§ 2
SimWell built a simulation of the entire dispatch process and linked it to an availability model. Trained on several years of historical data, the availability model predicts whether each employee will be available on a given day, and the simulation checks it before every dispatch.
The output is every dispatch decision for the period: which job, which worker, when. That runs to hundreds of thousands of lines. The client analyzed it in a BI tool against its own history, with the KPIs in the same format, to confirm the model behaved like the real operation before trusting its scenarios.
Cleared for release
The client now tests staffing and demand scenarios months and years ahead in a few clicks. The initial result saved hundreds of thousands of dollars a year and replaced the manual work of dispatching on a physical board.
The team can run the model on its own and keep testing scenarios after the project.
SimWell helps operators make better decisions under uncertainty. We build simulation and optimization models that reflect operational reality, test scenarios before committing resources, and transfer capability so teams can run decisions independently.
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